#Dynasty superflex rookie rankings update#
#Dynasty superflex rookie rankings full#

Positional Value in Rookie Dynasty Rankings I don’t let draft position dictate my entire process but if I rank contrary to draft position, I need to have a good reason for doing so.

Draft position: In general, the higher a player is selected in the draft, the more productive he’s likely to be in the NFL.

Longevity: Everything else equal, I usually rank wide receivers ahead of running backs because receivers as a group last longer in the league and maintain value deeper into their careers.

As a result, quarterbacks are usually low in my 1QB rankings leagues because there are so many viable options at the position.

Positional scarcity: I tend to devalue players at positions of fantasy depth.

After that time frame, projections are highly uncertain, although I still value the unknown long-tailed potential younger players possess.

Production window: In creating the rankings, I’ve focused most on the production we can reasonably expect from players within the next three years.

The younger players have more long-term upside. As a result, I tend to have younger players ranked ahead of older players.

Age: I place a premium on youth, which correlates with longevity and degree of future production.

Here are some general notes on my ranking process and perspective. Because I was fairly accurate with my draft capital projections, though, I see a lot of similarity between my pre- and post-draft rankings.ĭOWNLOAD NOW Dynasty Rankings Methodology So you’ll find some notable - perhaps very notable - changes since I last released my rookie rankings. We’re not great at evaluating circumstances anyway - and circumstances can (and often do) change. That’s something we just can’t know.Īnd yet that seems to be what many people focus on immediately after the draft. We can put exact numbers to each category and once those numbers are in place, they never change.īut we’re not very good - especially shortly after the draft - at evaluating a guy’s landing spot and projecting the usage he’s likely to have with his team.

It’s not hard for us to know - to quantify - a player’s college production, physical profile, recruitment grade and draft position. The tetrad of college production, physical profile, recruitment grade and draft capital mean more than our initial perceptions of a guy’s early-career circumstances. You might ask: “What about landing spot?” As a result, most of the factors that go into my model were already set. You’ll find some significant changes between the pre- and post-draft rankings but overall, I’ve made few massive updates (especially in the top 20 or so) because most of my draft position projections were relatively accurate.

#Dynasty superflex rookie rankings full#

In analyzing players below - and in the first expandable table - I order them according to their rankings in 1QB leagues.īefore we dig into the rankings, let’s run through my overall process.Ģ021 Dynasty Rookie Rankings CLICK THE DROPDOWN TO PREVIEW THE FULL RANKINGS Rank

For prospects further down the board, I’m less verbose but still thorough: Most of them won’t be relevant in three years anyway. In creating these rankings, I’ve focused on draft capital, college production, physical profile, recruitment grade, projected opportunity and team fit.Ī word on my player-by-player analysis: For guys higher in my rankings, I’ve written extensive notes. Version 1: Way-Too-Early Post-Super Bowl Top 36.Here are the previous versions my rankings. In this piece, I provide rankings for one-quarterback (1QB), superflex and two-quarterback (SF/2QB), and tight end premium (TEP) leagues.

#Dynasty superflex rookie rankings update#

With the 2021 NFL Draft in the books, it’s time to update my rookie dynasty fantasy football rankings.